Great Lakes Ice Update.

MonacoMike

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Sep 15, 2009
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Indiana lakes and Lake Michigan
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"Ice continued to build this past week on the Great Lakes due to the cold air and temperatures staying below freezing, and Lake Superior's new record shows it.

The lake is 92 percent frozen, toppling a 20-year-old record of 91 percent set on Feb. 5, 1994. That statistic helped total Great Lakes ice cover soar, and we can expect to see more form in coming days.

The air temperatures this past week averaged around five degrees below normal for the Great Lakes area. This amount of deviation from normal means it was a fairly cold week.

As of February 5, 2014, the entire Great Lakes system is now reportedly covered 77 percent with ice, according to the Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory. Last week at this time the ice cover was 66 percent. The 77 percent ice cover now still lags behind 1994, when the entire Great Lakes system had an average ice cover of 84 percent on February 5. This data is according to Jia Wang, physical oceanographer at the Great Lakes Environmental Research Center in Ann Arbor, MI.

Let's look at each individual lake.

Lake Superior

Lake Superior is almost frozen over as of yesterday February 5, 2014. Lake Superior is 92 percent covered with ice now. The ice has increased rapidly in the past week, from 76 percent ice cover on January 30, 2014. The high resolution satellite picture from February 3, 2014 shows all of the ice cover on Lake Superior. The current ice cover on Lake Superior is the highest amount ever for February 5. In 1994, Lake Superior was reportedly 91 percent covered in ice.

Lake Michigan

Lake Michigan is now 51 percent covered with ice, as opposed to 42 percent at this time last week. Coyotes were seen walking on the ice just offshore of Chicago this week. This makes us wonder if the lakes freeze over totally, will animals from Canada be able to cross over Lake Huron or Lake Superior, and enter Michigan. It is thought that this is how the last wolverine spotted in Michigan made it into Michigan. Lake Michigan has been covered with more ice on this date in the past. In 1977 and 1996, Lake Michigan was up to 74 percent ice covered.

More: A first-hand look of ice on the Great Lakes from a U.S. Coast Guard Cutter

Lake Huron

Ice cover on Lake Huron rocketed up an additional 14 percent this week, climbing to a total ice cover of 86 percent. If the ice continues to build at that rate in this next week, Lake Huron could be almost frozen over, or frozen over by the end of next week. People ice fishing are reporting 24 inches of ice on Saginaw Bay near Bay City. Lake Huron has been as much at 95 percent covered in ice on this date back in 1981 and 1994.

Lake Erie

Lake Erie is the shallowest of the Great Lakes, with an average depth of 62 feet and a maximum depth of 210 feet. It also has the least volume of any Great Lake, with 116 cubic miles of water. So it should come as no surprise that Lake Erie currently has the highest percentage of ice cover. Lake Erie is 96 percent covered with ice. Last week at this time Lake Erie had 94 percent ice cover. Erie was entirely ice covered on February 5, 1996.

Lake Ontario

Lake Ontario is an interesting lake. It is the smallest Great Lake when it comes to surface area, but actually holds more than three times the amount of water when compared to Lake Erie. The average depth of Lake Ontario is 283 feet, making it the second deepest Great Lake behind Lake Superior. The deepest spot in Lake Ontario is 802 feet. The ice cover on Lake Ontario is the lowest of any of the Great Lakes, with only 32 percent covered in ice. Last week at this time, Lake Ontario had 27 percent ice cover. Lake Ontario has been covered with as much as 79 percent ice up to this point in the winter in 1994.

Will ice continue to grow?

The ice cover should continue to grow at a rapid rate based on temperatures expected in the next few weeks. You may not want to hear this, but I don't see several days in a row cracking the freezing mark until at least February 21. There could be a few hours above freezing late next week, but that won't slow the ice growth. Also, the weather pattern is going to be fairly quiet in the next two weeks. This means lower wind speeds around the Great Lakes, which should help accelerate ice cover growth.

It is going to be close, but we may be living in a historic winter with regards to amount of Great Lakes ice.

We will see some fascinating ice sculptures if we get a big wind that breaks the ice, and piles it up.

We will also be fascinated when the ice has melted, and we see spring."

http://www.mlive.com/weather/index.ssf/2014/02/great_lakes_added_11_percent_i.html

MM
 
Lake Norman is 46 degrees. Air temps of 55 today and 58 tomorrow. I don't know how you guys do it up there.
 
Here are some pics of Lake Erie from Fairport Harbor this afternoon. Ice is about a foot thick


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I don't know how you guys do it up there.
I have wondered that forever. I have never been to any of the Great Lakes (yet) and I know they are beautiful in the Summer, but I couldn't imagine having to deal with those freezing temperatures everyday during the Winter.
 
I always joke that we deal with the clod the same way our friends in the South handle heat. They go from air conditioner to air conditioner, we go from heater to heater lol. Not much different.

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Bring it on! Last year at this time, I was extremely concerned about the record low water levels, which have since rebounded. This will continue to help. As for the cold and dealing with it, it is what it is. Suck it up or get out. If it was glorious enough to boat year round, I wouldn't be able to focus on work in my busy season, which means I wouldn't be able to pay for diesel! which mean I wouldn't be able to boat... :)

Paul
 
I have wondered that forever. I have never been to any of the Great Lakes (yet) and I know they are beautiful in the Summer, but I couldn't imagine having to deal with those freezing temperatures everyday during the Winter.

I'm with my family in Florida right now and we are seriously pondering how we make a move work down here. Of course, careers are the biggest issue, but I constantly read Lucky's posts for motivation!

I hate winter. Hate it.
 
Anyone who used -50 antifreeze in their engines should be sweating bullets this winter, we are looking at more temperatures in the neighborhood of -12. (It's 8 right now)

It is times like this that I am grateful we are in heated storage - at the beginning of the storage season, I question the added expense and winters like this answer that question - besides being able to get at it all winter long.

And we got more snow last night - my only comfort is knowing that when melted, it is going to en up in Lake Michigan.
 
I'm glad they use -100 on my boat, although this would be the year to be heated indoor. Maybe I can bottom paint in late March if I'm lucky!

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Paul I'm with you We love the winter and it gives you time to recover and build for the summer to come , can't wait to see the Lake levels when the melt comes in spring , never have I had to manage snow piles because they're so high


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I flew over Lake Superior today. It sure looked completely frozen to me as far as the eye could see.
 
Still snowing here in Holland. Probably picked up close to another foot over the weekend, still snowing big fluffy flakes. We must now be close to 11 feet this year. We love the winter and play in it as we like to ski cross country and down hill.
 
ugazesyp.jpg


From a couple if weeks ago at our Marina Winter party. I'm about 500yds out in the harbor.

na6aby3y.jpg


Daylight shot

2udaby5e.jpg


Was able to retrieve the dock line I forgot on my piling last fall.

Read a Story yesterday that folks are island hoping... Via snowmobile and ATV. Definitely the most ice in a long time.
 
"(CNSNews.com) – Lake Superior hasn’t completely frozen over in two decades.
But an expert on Great Lakes ice says there’s a “very high likelihood” that the three-quadrillion-gallon lake will soon be totally covered with ice thanks to this winter’s record-breaking cold.

The ice cover on the largest freshwater lake in the world hit a 20-year record of 91 percent on Feb. 5, 1994.

Jay Austin, associate professor at the Large Lakes Observatory in Duluth, Minn., told CNSNews.com that he expects that record will be broken this winter when the most northern of the Great Lakes becomes totally shrouded in ice.

The thickness of the ice on Lake Superior “varies tremendously,” from a very thin sheet in some areas near the coast to several feet thick in other spots, Austin says. The National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reports that the mean thickness of the lake ice is 26 cm, or a little over 10 inches.


Austin attributes the large amount of ice on the lake to the “extraordinary cold winter we’ve had,” pointing out that Duluth recently experienced an all-time record of 23 straight days of below-zero temperatures.

The previous record of 22 days was set in 1936 and tied in 1963, according to the National Weather Service.

Austin, who studies the effect of lake ice, predicts that it will have a “very strong influence” on the regional climate this summer, with the “air conditioning [lake] effect” more pronounced than usual.

“Typically, the lake will start warming up in late June, but it will be August before we see that this year,” Austin told CNSNews.com.

As of February 10th, ice covered 80.4 percent of all the Great Lakes, compared to 38.4 percent last winter, according to NOAA. That’s considerably higher than the lake’s long-term average of 51.4 percent under ice.

The record for maximum ice coverage of 94.7 percent was set in 1979. The lowest ice accumulation occurred in 2002, when just 9.5 percent of the surface of the Great Lakes was frozen solid."



http://cnsnews.com/news/article/bar...cts-lake-superior-will-completely-freeze-over
 
Greeeeaaaat. No Spring for you, Great Lake Boater! Come back, in one year!

I'd better lose some weight fast so I can fit into my wet suit.

IF this helps with water levels, quelling the mayfly hatch, and reduced algae blooms I will gladly take one year of the shrivels...
 

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