Gary, how would I know if the wind is decreasing? From broadcasts over time increments?
Pull up a plot on your Navigation PC that is tied to the wind meter on top of the boat...
AND...
I use the PORTS system:
http://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ports.html
If you look at the Chesapeake Bay Bridge Tunnel weather station, it looks like this:
So when the wind was at 25 knots and decreasing a few days ago, I would have been OK going out as long as the forecast supporting a continual drop in wind speed and wave height. If the wind was at 15 knots and going up, I would stay at the dock... You can't base everything on this but I like looking at trends of real data as well as the forecast and sat images. You can also see on the tide level that the waves were knocking the sensor all over the place showing a rough plot.
I also have WxWorx on the boat so I can get buoy data from that.